{"id":28880,"date":"2025-11-11T23:13:55","date_gmt":"2025-11-11T16:13:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cimigo.com\/?p=28880"},"modified":"2025-11-12T12:31:58","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T05:31:58","slug":"indonesias-economic-outlook-q3-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cimigo.com\/en\/trends\/indonesias-economic-outlook-q3-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Indonesia’s economic outlook Q3 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Indonesia\u2019s economy continues on a cautious upward path. The third quarter of 2025 reveals both new opportunities and persistent challenges for decision-makers seeking clarity in a shifting environment. This article examines the country’s economic environment from Cimigo<\/a>‘s perspective – Indonesia’s economic outlook.
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A glance at Q3 2025\u2019s key results<\/strong>.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Indonesia’s economy, with a GDP of US$1,396.8 billion and a population of 281.6 million in 2024, saw 5.04% GDP growth this quarter. It is largely driven by accommodation, food and beverage, as well as the corporate and health services sectors. Manufacturing makes up 19% of GDP and grew by 5% year-on-year. Notably, industrial production expanded 5.54%, and exports surged by 9.9%, underlining continued international demand and domestic capacity expansion.
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Download the report here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n


Manufacturing and exports: signs of recovery<\/strong>.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The manufacturing sector is steadily recovering, as highlighted by a 4.1% rise in the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) over the last period. This PMI, which tracks the health of the sector, has remained above 50, indicating improvement month-to-month. The rise in both manufacturing activity and export volumes signals greater resilience among Indonesian firms and improving regional trade connections. Manufacturers, however, must continue monitoring global demand and input costs as they ramp up production.
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\"Indonesia<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Download the report here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n


Retail and consumer trends<\/strong>.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Year-to-date, retail sales have grown by 5.8%, driven notably by automotive fuels and clothing. The real retail sales index points to resilience in discretionary spending despite rising inflation. In contrast, sales of communication equipment continue to decline, a sign consumers are starting to delay non-essential purchases.
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\"Indonesia<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Download the report here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n


Consumer confidence continues to dwindle<\/strong><\/strong>.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Inflation has continued to rise, reaching the highest year-on-year growth rate seen in recent years by September 2025. While economic output grows, the squeeze on household budgets is real. This is reflected in consumer confidence levels which, according to Bank Indonesia and Cimigo’s survey, have continued to fall throughout the quarter. Difficulty in finding suitable employment remains a concern.
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\"Indonesia<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Download the report here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n


Navigating Indonesia\u2019s economic moderation. Indonesia\u2019s economic outlook Q3 2025.<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Indonesian economy is still in the middle of a phase of moderation. Businesses face tighter margins in input and output prices due to persistent inflation. Structural difficulties in the job market are dampening household optimism and spending.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, manufacturing and exports are outperforming, providing bright spots in an uneven landscape. Companies that prioritise flexibility and manage costs while exploring market diversification will be in the strongest position to tackle these difficulties. Track consumer sentiment and employment trends monthly to inform tactical shifts in marketing and sales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking for more insights on Indonesia? Explore other reports from Cimigo here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Indonesia\u2019s economy continues on a cautious upward path. The third quarter of 2025 reveals both new opportunities and persistent challenges for decision-makers seeking clarity in a shifting environment. This article examines the country’s economic environment from Cimigo‘s perspective – Indonesia’s economic outlook. A glance at Q3 2025\u2019s key results. Indonesia’s economy, with a GDP of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28878,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[988],"tags":[1180,566],"class_list":["post-28880","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-research-indonesia","tag-indonesia-economic-market-research","tag-indonesia-market-research"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nIndonesia's economic outlook Q3 2025 - Market research Vietnam Indonesia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This article discusses key economic indicators for Indonesia in Q3 2025 and outlines the outlook for businesses to remain competitive.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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