{"id":27154,"date":"2026-05-11T10:32:59","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T03:32:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.cimigo.com\/?p=27154"},"modified":"2026-05-12T17:40:16","modified_gmt":"2026-05-12T10:40:16","slug":"trien-vong-kinh-te-q1-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.cimigo.com\/vi\/trends\/trien-vong-kinh-te-q1-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf Q1 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kinh t\u1ebf Q1 2026: t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gia t\u0103ng, ni\u1ec1m tin suy gi\u1ea3m<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf Q1 2026. \u00a0Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2026 v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c \u00e1p l\u1ef1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng. GDP t\u0103ng 7,8% trong Q1, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc (+9,0%), t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u00e1n l\u1ebb (+10,1%) v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u m\u1ea1nh (+20% YoY). Du l\u1ecbch c\u0169ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, v\u1edbi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u0103ng 12%. PMI s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t duy tr\u00ec trong v\u00f9ng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u1edf m\u1ee9c 51,2.<\/p>\n

T\u1ebft 2026 ghi nh\u1eadn chi ti\u00eau b\u00e1n l\u1ebb c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n<\/strong><\/h2>\n

T\u1ebft 2026<\/a> cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch quan tr\u1ecdng trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n so s\u00e1nh t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 12 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 2, t\u1ed5ng doanh thu b\u00e1n l\u1ebb v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 1,86 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ef7 VND, v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u00e1n l\u1ebb h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 8% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd h\u01a1n, chi ti\u00eau cho d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u00e0 tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 s\u1ef1 t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u1ee7a chi ti\u00eau ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng t\u1eeb h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a sang du l\u1ecbch, gi\u1ea3i tr\u00ed v\u00e0 ti\u1ec7n \u00edch.<\/p>\n

\"Doanh<\/p>\n

\n
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Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n<\/a>. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed5ng chi ti\u00eau, nh\u01b0ng \u0111ang tr\u1edf n\u00ean ch\u1ecdn l\u1ecdc h\u01a1n, \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng theo gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 \u01b0u ti\u00ean tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 thay v\u00ec b\u00e1n l\u1ebb truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u00e0nh h\u01a1n, n\u01a1i ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch t\u1eeb s\u1edf h\u1eefu sang s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng Q1 2026<\/strong><\/h2>\n

X\u00e9t tr\u00ean b\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 cho th\u1ea5y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng. Nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u0103ng nhanh h\u01a1n xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u (+27% so v\u1edbi +20%), ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c chi ph\u00ed gia t\u0103ng. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u00edch l\u00ean, trong khi chi ph\u00ed logistics v\u00e0 v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

\"Tri\u1ec3n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf\u00a0 Q1 2026: Ni\u1ec1m tin kinh doanh suy gi\u1ea3m<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n, ni\u1ec1m tin kinh doanh \u0111\u00e3 suy gi\u1ea3m r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t. Ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a CEO gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2022<\/a>, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh lo ng\u1ea1i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng d\u00f9 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 Q1 v\u1eabn t\u00edch c\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n

PMI 3\/2026<\/strong><\/h2>\n

D\u1eef li\u1ec7u PMI s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t\u00a0 m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb S&P Global<\/a> cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, do gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng. C\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u chuy\u1ec3n ph\u1ea7n chi ph\u00ed n\u00e0y sang kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 b\u00e1n t\u0103ng \u1edf t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 nhanh nh\u1ea5t trong g\u1ea7n 15 n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u s\u1ebd l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng<\/h2>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 lan truy\u1ec1n nhanh ch\u00f3ng t\u1eeb xung \u0111\u1ed9t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u sang l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u, k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 2\/2026, gi\u00e1 x\u0103ng RON 95 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 22% v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u diesel t\u0103ng 43%, theo Shiv<\/a>. Chi ph\u00ed nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u cao h\u01a1n \u0111ang lan sang logistics, \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 tr\u00ean to\u00e0n n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn. Khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t gia t\u0103ng, s\u1ee9c mua c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng, l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng r\u1ee7i ro nhu c\u1ea7u ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i trong c\u00e1c th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf Q1 2026: D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP 7,2% cho n\u0103m 2026<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Do \u0111\u00f3, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP\u00a0 n\u0103m 2026 c\u1ee7a Cimigo \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 8.6% xu\u1ed1ng 7.2%. R\u1ee7i ro ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c chi ph\u00ed k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 ni\u1ec1m tin suy gi\u1ea3m l\u00e0m x\u00f3i m\u00f2n \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi then ch\u1ed1t: li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec trong bao l\u00e2u n\u1ebfu ni\u1ec1m tin ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c suy y\u1ebfu?<\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi ho\u1eb7c nhu c\u1ea7u c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o, vui l\u00f2ng li\u00ean h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi ch\u00fang t\u00f4i t\u1ea1i ask@cimigo.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kinh t\u1ebf Q1 2026: t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gia t\u0103ng, ni\u1ec1m tin suy gi\u1ea3m Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf Q1 2026. \u00a0Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2026 v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c \u00e1p l\u1ef1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng nhanh ch\u00f3ng. GDP t\u0103ng 7,8% trong Q1, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi s\u1ea3n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29492,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1829],"tags":[1024,1012,1016],"class_list":["post-27154","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nghien-cuu-thi-truong-viet-nam-vi","tag-nghien-cuu-thi-truong-kinh-te-viet-nam","tag-nghien-cuu-thi-truong-viet-nam","tag-xu-huong-tiep-thi-cua-nguoi-tieu-dung-viet-nam"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam Q1 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf Q1 2026. 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